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The EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS (ECMWF) has issued a Tender notice for the procurement of a C3s2_452 Development of a Statistical Framework for Event Attribution in the Germany. This Tender notice was published on 06 May 2026 and is scheduled to close on 23 Jun 2026, with an estimated Tender value of EUR 250000. Interested bidders can access detailed Tender information, eligibility criteria, and complete bidding documents by referencing TOT Ref No. 140753264, while the tender notice number is 311289-2026 and Registering on the platform.
Procurement Summary
Country: Germany
Summary: C3s2_452 Development of a Statistical Framework for Event Attribution
Deadline: 23 Jun 2026
Posting Date: 06 May 2026
Other Information
Notice Type: Tender
TOT Ref.No.: 140753264
Document Ref. No.: 311289-2026
Competition: ICB
Financier: Self Financed
Purchaser Ownership: Public
Tender Value: EUR 250000
CPV Classification
73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy servicesPurchaser's Detail
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Login to see detailsTender Details
C3S2_452 Development of a statistical framework for event attribution
The main objective of this Invitation to Tender (ITT) is to develop a statistical, e.g. Bayesian, framework for event attribution to support the evolution of C3S-s operational extreme events monitoring and attribution activities. C3S aims to: (a) Develop a statistical framework for event attribution that integrates climate model output, observations, physical drivers, multi-model ensembles, and prior knowledge, and produces posterior probability distributions. (b) Deliver a methodology with accompanying software or analytical tools that generate probabilistic attribution assessments, including posterior distributions of event likelihood, intensity, and uncertainty. (c) Design the framework to be user-friendly and computationally efficient, supporting future practical application within C3S operational services and enabling climate services, adaptation planning, and risk management.
Doc Title: C3S2_452 Development of a statistical framework for event attribution
Contract Type: services
Document Type: Contract Notice
Reference Number: C3S2_452
Contract Type: services
Estimated Value: 250000 - EUR
Authority Type: int-org
Doc Title: C3S2_452 Development of a statistical framework for event attribution
Dispatch Date: 2026-05-05
Publish Date: 2026-05-06
Submission Date: 2026-06-23
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