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C3s2_452 Development of a Statistical Framework Tender - 140744327

The ECMWF has issued a Tender notice for the procurement of a C3s2_452 Development of a Statistical Framework for Event Attribution in the United Kingdom. This Tender notice was published on 06 May 2026 and is scheduled to close on 23 Jun 2026, with an estimated Tender value of Refer Document. Interested bidders can access detailed Tender information, eligibility criteria, and complete bidding documents by referencing TOT Ref No. 140744327, while the tender notice number is DN815175 and Registering on the platform.

Procurement Summary

Country: United Kingdom

Summary: C3s2_452 Development of a Statistical Framework for Event Attribution

Deadline: 23 Jun 2026

Posting Date: 06 May 2026

Other Information

Notice Type: Tender

TOT Ref.No.: 140744327

Document Ref. No.: DN815175

Competition: ICB

Financier: Self Financed

Purchaser Ownership: Public

Tender Value: Refer Document

Purchaser's Detail

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Tender Details

ECMWF, as the Entrusted Entity for the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), invites Tenders for the development of a statistical framework for event attribution. ECMWF intends to award a single Framework Agreement for a period of maximum 24 months, which shall be implemented via a single multi-annual Service Contract expected to commence in Q4 2026.
The main objective of this Invitation to Tender (ITT) is to develop a statistical, e.g. Bayesian, framework for event attribution to support the evolution of C3S-s operational extreme events monitoring and attribution activities. C3S aims to: (a) Develop a statistical framework for event attribution that integrates climate model output, observations, physical drivers, multi-model ensembles, and prior knowledge, and produces posterior probability distributions. (b) Deliver a methodology with accompanying software or analytical tools that generate probabilistic attribution assessments, including posterior distributions of event likelihood, intensity, and uncertainty. (c) Design the framework to be user-friendly and computationally efficient, supporting future practical application within C3S operational services and enabling climate services, adaptation planning, and risk management.
Portal instructions:
Some of the ITT documents are accessible under the ‘Attachments- box at bottom right of this page. The full set of ITT documents which are provided inside the response questionnaire are only accessible by regist...
Region(s) of supply :Österreich

Estimated value :N/A

Publication Date :05/05/2026

Categories :73000000-2 - Research and development services and related consultancy services
Last Date of Submission : 23/06/2026 15:00:00

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